FCBBS World Series Game 5
Tonight is a tough match-up for us in that we don't have a 100% likelihood of winning the bet like we did last night. With the Indians about +210 and facing John Lester tonight, we think our chances are closer to 75% so we'll tone the bet size back a bit to keep some powder dry to fire away if the series gets back to Cleveland. We would like to be at full strength for a 100% play on Kulber in Game 7 if the Cubs were to pull something out of their asses the next two games.
However, at the moment the only thing coming out of Cub asses, and really Cub everywhere, is filthy, stinky excrement. The lineup is poopy, the bullpen is poopy, Jim Lackey was poopy (plus he's so old he probably wears adult diapers by now anyway).
When you look at the Cubs, there's not much to like right now. Every player in the lineup looks baffled at the plate, trying to do too much, which results in doing nothing. Like I've said since the beginning of the playoffs...this team is too young and too inexperienced to win the whole thing this year. They might be the better team on paper, but the Indians are by far the smarter team, and Tony Francona has managed circles around John Madden (like I said he would before Game 1). It's men versus boys out there and the boys in Cubbie blue are no match for the men in red face.
We like but don't love our spot here...only a 75% chance of winning by our estimates, but at +210 odds there is incredible value. Troy Brouwer is looking to avenge his Game 2 loss in the Cleve and what better way to do that than clinch the series at Wrigley for the Tribe.
We see the Indians burying the tomahawk in the Cubs' heart tonight.
Indians (Bauer) +210 (CRIS) risking 3000 units to win 6300 units


